BULLETIN
Hurricane Erin Intermediate Advisory #17A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL | AL052025
200 PM AST Fri Aug 15 2025

...ERIN MOVING QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWEST...
...LIKELY TO PASS NEAR OR NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SATURDAY...

SUMMARY (200 PM AST)
Location: 18.6N 56.8W
About 415 mi (665 km) E of the N Leeward Islands
Max Sustained Winds: 75 mph (120 km/h)
Movement: WNW at 17 mph (28 km/h)
Min Pressure: 993 mb (29.33 in)

WATCHES/WARNINGS
Tropical Storm Watch:

• Anguilla & Barbuda

• St. Martin & St. Barthelemy

• Saba & St. Eustatius

• Sint Maarten

Tropical storm conditions possible within 48 hrs. Other areas, including Virgin Islands & Puerto Rico, should monitor Erin.

DISCUSSION
Erin’s center moving WNW near 17 mph. Track likely near or just north of northern Leewards this weekend. Hurricane Hunter data shows 75 mph winds; steady to rapid strengthening expected next 2–3 days, with Erin likely becoming a major hurricane this weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend 25 mi from center; tropical-storm-force winds 115 mi, mainly north.

HAZARDS

• Rainfall: Outer bands could bring 2–4 in., isolated 6 in., to N Leewards, Virgin Islands, & Puerto Rico tonight–Sun. Risk of flash flooding, mudslides.

• Wind: Tropical storm conditions possible in watch area by early Sat.

• Surf: Swells to impact N Leewards, Virgin Islands, & Puerto Rico this weekend; western Atlantic next week. Life-threatening surf/rip currents possible.

More info: hurricanes.gov